Core CPI (ex food and energy), month over month: 0.3% for September 2026, 0.1 above Kalshi's last middle guess of 0.2%
Of the last 12 prints, 2 above the guess, 3 below and 7 in line · SPY -1.1% and the 10-year yield -2.7 bp on release day · The print as the market settled it, before revisions
Macro · Macro · Kalshi, BLS and NYSE Arca · 14 Oct 2026