Headline CPI, over 12 months: 3.7% for September 2026, 0.1 above Kalshi's last middle guess of 3.6%
Of the last 12 prints, 3 above the guess, 5 below and 4 in line · SPY -1.1% and the 10-year yield -2.7 bp on release day · The print as the market settled it, before revisions
Macro · Macro · Kalshi, BLS and NYSE Arca · 14 Oct 2026