Risk Monitor: 9 of 38 measures read stressed, 12 on watch
Stressed: Near-term vs 3-month fear (VIX curve) 1.04; Big Tech money promised off the books $3.82T; Total federal debt (incl. intragovernmental) as a % of GDP 121.2%; Corporate income taxes vs last year -16% and 5 more · Calm: Executives' trades in their own stock (90 days); Months of new homes for sale 8.4; Corporate profits after tax, vs a year earlier +26.6%; Output per hour worked, vs a year earlier +2.1% and 7 more
Markets · Briefing · SEC filings, U.S. Treasury and BEA, BEA + 3 more · 8 Nov 2026