Headline CPI, month over month: 0.6% for September 2026, in line with Kalshi's last middle guess of 0.6%
Of the last 12 prints, 1 above the guess, 2 below and 9 in line · SPY -1.1% and the 10-year yield -2.7 bp on release day · The print as the market settled it, before revisions
Macro · Macro · Kalshi, BLS and NYSE Arca · 14 Oct 2026