Organized Violence

Organized Violence is a data page on the Global Intelligence desk of Glassbox Auditing. UCDP's annual record of armed conflicts, battle deaths, fighting between non-state groups and violence against civilians since 1989 (armed conflicts since 1946), with its monthly preliminary events. Long wars shrink the economies they are fought in, push people to flee and draw in foreign aid and arms spending.

Last updated: 7 Nov 2026.

What is the latest reading?

Active state-based armed conflicts: 65 count as of 2025, +282.4% since 1946. Source: UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset.

What is on this page today?

UCDP 2025: 244,579 deaths in organized violence — most: Russia (Soviet Union), Ukraine 94,741, Sudan 75,157, Israel, Lebanon, Qatar 14,434, Mexico 6,844 (Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), 7 Nov 2026)
UCDP Candidate events for September 2026: 14,435 deaths in 2,014 events — preliminary: events may be revised or removed before the annual release · 43% still flagged for checking · by kind: state-based conflict 12,728, non-state conflict 1,148, one-sided violence 559 (Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), 29 Sep 2026)
2025: 65 state-based armed conflicts, 153,643 battle deaths (-1% on the year before) — 13 wars (1,000+ battle deaths) and 52 minor conflicts · the bars are the largest conflicts by battle deaths, UCDP's best estimates (Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), 30 Dec 2025)
2025: 75 conflicts between non-state groups, 14,483 deaths (-18% on the year before) — fighting where neither side is a government · the bars are the deadliest pairs of groups, UCDP's best estimates (Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), 30 Dec 2025)
2025: 55 actors killed civilians in one-sided violence, 76,453 deaths (+436% on the year before) — UCDP's range for the year 19,977 to 95,239 · counts by the actor UCDP's sources name, not findings of any court (Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), 30 Dec 2025)

Where does the data come from?

Items on this page come from Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP). Each item links to its own source. All sources, how items are checked.

What does this page lead to?

Global Data (Global Intelligence): Deadlier conflicts drive more people from their homes, which shows in UNHCR's counts of refugees and internally displaced people by origin country. (moves the same way; months to years; global scale) Source: Davies, Pettersson & Öberg, Organized violence 1989–2025 (Journal of Peace Research, 2026).
Economies & Debt (World Powers): War cuts output in the countries where it is fought: Ukraine's GDP fell by close to 30% in 2022. (moves the other way; years; global scale) Source: IMF World Economic Outlook / DataMapper.
United Nations (World Powers): More conflicts and civilian deaths add Security Council resolutions and peacekeeping mandates, which member states pay for through assessed contributions. (moves the same way; months to years; global scale) Source: UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset.
Oil Stress (Macro): Fighting in oil-producing countries can halt output: Libya's exports have stopped several times during its civil conflict, taking barrels off the world market. (moves the same way; days to months; global scale) Source: EIA, Short-Term Energy Outlook (OPEC spare capacity, world supply and demand).
World Comparison (Immigration): Refugees from long wars settle mostly in neighbouring countries and in Europe, adding to the migrant inflows World Comparison counts, as Syrians did in Turkey and Germany after 2015. (moves the same way; years; global scale) Source: OECD International Migration Database (CC BY 4.0).
Federal Contractors (People & Money): U.S. aid to countries at war, such as Ukraine since 2022, is largely spent with U.S. arms makers, and replacing donated stocks adds new Pentagon contracts. (moves the same way; months to years; sector scale) Source: USAspending.gov (U.S. Treasury): federal contracts, grants and loans by recipient.
Health (Global Intelligence): War wrecks water, sanitation and clinics and drives people into crowded camps where cholera and measles spread, as in Yemen from 2016, so deadlier conflicts tend to add outbreak reports and displacement on Health. (moves the same way; months; global scale) Source: UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset (API).
Military & Airspace (Global Intelligence): Active wars close the airspace over them to civil flights, as over Ukraine since February 2022, and draw military aircraft that the open ADS-B feeds record whenever their transponders are on. (moves the same way; days; global scale) Source: adsb.lol open ADS-B data (military aircraft list).

What feeds this page?

World Map (Global Intelligence): The fighting that news reports and ACLED's weekly counts put on the live map is coded separately by UCDP, first in its monthly preliminary events and, after review, in the yearly counts on Organized Violence. (moves the same way; months; global scale) Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset (monthly, preliminary).