Federal Reports
Federal Reports is a data page on the Calendar desk of Glassbox Auditing. When the economic reports come out and the Fed decides on rates.
Last updated: .
What is on this page today?
- CPI (consumer prices): out Tuesday 10 Nov — Inflation: what households pay · Kalshi median for inflation this month: 0.3% (last 0.6%) (BLS, 10 Nov 2026)
- PPI (producer prices): out Friday 13 Nov — Inflation in the pipeline (BLS, 13 Nov 2026)
- Monthly Treasury Statement: out Thursday 12 Nov — The deficit: receipts and outlays (U.S. Treasury, 12 Nov 2026)
- Jobless claims (weekly): out Thursday 12 Nov — Layoffs, week by week (Dept. of Labor, 12 Nov 2026)
- The Federal Reserve held $6.75T in total assets on 4 Nov, $161.11B more than a year earlier — Wednesday level, all Reserve Banks · bars: the largest lines of its statement of condition · $6.59T a year earlier (Federal Reserve (H.4.1 statistical release), 3 Nov 2026)
- The federal government's net position was -$41.72T at the end of fiscal 2025, $2.07T lower than a year earlier — assets $6.06T, liabilities $47.78T · net operating cost $2.09T · cash budget deficit $1.78T · audited, accrual basis, 30 September (U.S. Treasury (Financial Report of the U.S. Government), 29 Sep 2025)
Where does the data come from?
Items on this page come from BLS; U.S. Treasury; Dept. of Labor; Federal Reserve (H.4.1 statistical release); U.S. Treasury (Financial Report of the U.S. Government). Each item links to its own source. All sources, how items are checked.
What does this page lead to?
- Kalshi (Markets): Kalshi's markets on CPI, payrolls and the Fed's decision settle on these releases, so the odds move in the days before each one and settle on the day. (either way, depending on the cause; days before each release; economy scale) Source: Kalshi prediction markets.
- SPY (Options): SPY options expiring just after an FOMC decision or CPI release carry extra premium for the event, which falls away once the number is out. (moves the same way; days before each release; economy scale) Source: Robinhood options market data (OPRA).
- Debt & Interest (Macro): Treasury auctions on the calendar are where new federal debt is sold; weak demand at an auction tends to lift yields that day, and strong demand to lower them. (either way, depending on the cause; same day; economy scale) Source: U.S. Treasury, Debt to the Penny.
- Central Banks (World Powers): FOMC decisions set the U.S. policy rate that other central banks' rates and currencies are measured against; each decision is logged with theirs. (either way, depending on the cause; on each decision; global scale) Source: FRED (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis).
- Credit & Housing (Macro): Mortgage rates follow the 10-year yield, which moves most on jobs, CPI and FOMC days, so lenders' quoted rates tend to change around these dates. (either way, depending on the cause; days; economy scale) Source: FRED (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis).
- Dividend Health (Companies): High-dividend sectors such as utilities and real estate trusts tend to fall when a jobs, CPI or FOMC day lifts Treasury yields, since their payouts compete with bond income, and to gain when yields drop. (either way, depending on the cause; same day; sector scale) Source: FRED (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis).
What feeds this page?
- Lawmaking (Domestic Intelligence): When Congress fails to pass funding, a shutdown halts federal statistics; the October-November 2025 shutdown delayed the jobs and inflation reports on the Federal Reports calendar. (either way, depending on the cause; days; economy scale) Source: Congress.gov API (bills, actions, committee meetings).
- All Indicators (Macro): Each row is replaced on a scheduled release; jobs, CPI, GDP and retail sales days are when these readings, and the prices that depend on them, reset most. (either way, depending on the cause; on each release; economy scale) Source: FRED (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis).
- Debt & Interest (Macro): A larger deficit is financed through more and bigger Treasury auctions, which appear on the federal calendar and are watched for weak demand. (moves the same way; weeks; economy scale) Source: U.S. Treasury, Debt to the Penny.
- Fed Statements (Macro): An FOMC statement and the Chair's press conference are scheduled releases on the federal calendar, and speeches between meetings discuss the latest jobs, inflation and growth reports the calendar lists. (either way, depending on the cause; same day; economy scale) Source: FOMC statements and minutes (monetary policy press releases).
- Options (Markets): Index options that expire just after a CPI, jobs or Fed date tend to cost more, since those releases move the S&P 500 more than ordinary days; Federal Reports gives the dates. (either way, depending on the cause; days before each release; economy scale) Source: Robinhood options market data (OPRA).
- Kalshi (Markets): Kalshi's markets on the next CPI, jobs and GDP figures settle on those releases, so their odds show what the crowd expects before each date on Federal Reports. (either way, depending on the cause; until each release; economy scale) Source: Kalshi prediction markets.
- Market Behavior (Markets): One template measures trading in the hour before scheduled releases such as the Fed decision and the jobs and CPI reports, and the move in the hour after, so each date on Federal Reports is an anchor it checks. (either way, depending on the cause; the hour around each release; economy scale) Source: Market behavior measured by the terminal (fixed episode templates over stored trades, quotes and bars).
- SPY (Options): SPY options expiring just after a CPI, jobs or Fed date tend to cost more, since those days move the index most; Federal Reports gives the dates. (either way, depending on the cause; days before each release; economy scale) Source: Robinhood options market data (OPRA).
- Dealer Gamma: Detail (Options): Contracts expiring right after CPI, jobs and Fed dates carry extra open interest, so a ticker's levels can shift around those days; Federal Reports gives the dates. (either way, depending on the cause; days around each release; economy scale) Source: Dealer gamma computed by the terminal (Black-Scholes greeks from closing mids; dealers assumed long calls and short puts).
- Government (People & Money): The president nominates and the Senate confirms the Fed chair and governors, so changes in those offices change who votes on the rate decisions on the Federal Reports calendar. (either way, depending on the cause; months to years; economy scale) Source: Congress.gov API (bills, actions, committee meetings).