World Log
World Log is a data page on the World Powers desk of Glassbox Auditing. Every dated event the World Powers desk records, newest first: central-bank rate moves, new leaders, election results, countries joining or leaving blocs, and changes of poll leader. These are the events that tend to reprice currencies, bonds and prediction markets the day they happen.
Last updated: .
What is on this page today?
- Rate hikes by 9 of 13 tracked central banks: 1 in October 2026 (3 in September) — Bank of Canada · not yet on file for October: Bank of Korea, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reserve Bank of India, Saudi Central Bank (Central banks, 30 Oct 2026)
- Rate cuts by 9 of 13 tracked central banks: 0 in October 2026 (1 in September) — not yet on file for October: Bank of Korea, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reserve Bank of India, Saudi Central Bank (Central banks, 30 Oct 2026)
Where does the data come from?
Items on this page come from Central banks. Each item links to its own source. All sources, how items are checked.
What does this page lead to?
- Fear Gauge (VIX) (Briefing): Surprise events in the log (a snap election, an unscheduled rate move, a sudden change of leader) tend to show in option-implied volatility the same day. (either way, depending on the cause; same day; global scale) Source: Cboe VIX index data (daily history and delayed quotes).
- Polymarket (Markets): Elections and leader changes recorded here are what many prediction markets settle on; each event resolves or reprices them. (either way, depending on the cause; same day; global scale) Source: Polymarket (public blockchain trades and wallet profiles).
- Tariffs & Government (Macro): A country joining or leaving a bloc changes the duties and rules its trade faces, as the U.K.'s exit from the EU in 2020 did. (either way, depending on the cause; months; economy scale) Source: USITC Harmonized Tariff Schedule.
- Kalshi (Markets): A Fed rate decision logged here settles Kalshi's Fed-decision markets and resets the odds for the next meeting. (either way, depending on the cause; same day; economy scale) Source: Kalshi prediction markets.